Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.003644 0.003822 0.004003 0.004202 0.004415 0.004636 0.004884
2025-02-09 0.003290 0.003553 0.003832 0.004152 0.004511 0.004900 0.005358
2025-02-16 0.003091 0.003403 0.003745 0.004148 0.004613 0.005136 0.005774
2025-02-23 0.002928 0.003273 0.003659 0.004125 0.004676 0.005314 0.006113
2025-03-02 0.002832 0.003208 0.003637 0.004166 0.004806 0.005565 0.006544
2025-03-09 0.002709 0.003104 0.003560 0.004131 0.004838 0.005692 0.006822
2025-03-16 0.002600 0.003008 0.003486 0.004094 0.004859 0.005802 0.007078
2025-03-23 0.002488 0.002903 0.003394 0.004028 0.004838 0.005854 0.007255
2025-03-30 0.002390 0.002809 0.003311 0.003968 0.004818 0.005902 0.007427
2025-04-06 0.002332 0.002763 0.003285 0.003976 0.004884 0.006062 0.007753
2025-04-13 0.002209 0.002631 0.003146 0.003834 0.004747 0.005945 0.007688
2025-04-20 0.002165 0.002596 0.003128 0.003847 0.004813 0.006102 0.008013
2025-04-27 0.002158 0.002610 0.003175 0.003947 0.005004 0.006440 0.008622
2025-05-04 0.002090 0.002543 0.003113 0.003901 0.004993 0.006499 0.008826
2025-05-11 0.002043 0.002501 0.003083 0.003897 0.005038 0.006636 0.009153
2025-05-18 0.001992 0.002453 0.003043 0.003876 0.005058 0.006736 0.009427
2025-05-25 0.001968 0.002438 0.003046 0.003914 0.005161 0.006962 0.009909
2025-06-01 0.001918 0.002388 0.003001 0.003882 0.005163 0.007036 0.010151
2025-06-08 0.001870 0.002339 0.002955 0.003848 0.005159 0.007099 0.010378
2025-06-15 0.001815 0.002280 0.002892 0.003788 0.005113 0.007095 0.010492
2025-06-22 0.001765 0.002224 0.002835 0.003732 0.005072 0.007097 0.010614
2025-06-29 0.001738 0.002202 0.002821 0.003739 0.005125 0.007247 0.010998
2025-07-06 0.001666 0.002114 0.002715 0.003609 0.004964 0.007050 0.010765